data-analysis

Data-centric immigration insights from the Threshold team.

FY2026 Q1 LCA Data: Shutdown Cuts Certifications 25%, While Wages and AI/ML Roles Signal Structural Shift

March 08, 2026

FY2026 Q1 LCA Data: Shutdown Cuts Certifications 25%, While Wages and AI/ML Roles Signal Structural Shift

The October 2025 government shutdown zeroed out a month of DOL processing, pulling FY2026 Q1 certified H-1B filings down ~25% to 71,782. Beneath the decline, structural trends accelerated: median wages reached $131K, AI/ML roles nearly doubled, and $200K+ filings hit 12.6% of certifications. Threshold's five-year analysis of DOL OFLC disclosure data.

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Which Occupations Get Hit Hardest? A SOC Code Analysis of the Proposed Wage Thresholds

March 14, 2026

Which Occupations Get Hit Hardest? A SOC Code Analysis of the Proposed Wage Thresholds

An occupation-level analysis of DOL's proposed prevailing wage threshold increases, examining how the impact varies across top H-1B job classifications and metro areas.

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The New H-1B Math: Weighted Lottery, $100k Fee, and Rising Wage Thresholds

January 05, 2026

The New H-1B Math: Weighted Lottery, $100k Fee, and Rising Wage Thresholds

Three simultaneous policy changes are reshaping who can viably participate in the H-1B program. An analysis of over 1 million LCA filings.

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